SWISS DIPLOMAT RESISTS U.S. ON CERTIFYING A BOSNIAN VOTEBy CHRIS HEDGES
BERN, Switzerland -- The Swiss diplomat in charge of determining
whether conditions exist for fair elections in Bosnia is resisting
intense pressure from the Clinton administration to announce that
the vote should go ahead as scheduled in September, according to
Swiss and American diplomats.
The decision by the Swiss foreign minister, Flavio Cotti, to maintain
independence from the administration on one of its touchiest foreign
policy goals has provoked intense diplomatic activity and some
sharp exchanges, the diplomats said. Cotti is serving as chairman
of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe, charged
under the Dayton peace accord with overseeing elections in Bosnia
if it determines that they can be free and fair.
At the meeting in Geneva last weekend between the presidents of
Croatia, Serbia and Bosnia and Secretary of State Warren
Christopher, American officials tried to force Cotti to announce that
elections would proceed, the diplomats said. But the Swiss official
ignored the American demands, "crossing his arms and glaring
silently at the Americans," according to a diplomat who was in the
room.
The State Department then tried to extract a promise from him to
give the green light in Florence on June 14 at a meeting of foreign
ministers from the region. But he has refused to commit himself.
"If even minimal conditions are not met, then I believe it will be
better to delay elections," Cotti said in an interview Friday.
"If these elections degenerate into a farce and a drama, then it will
be a negative exercise for all of the parties involved."
Under the American-brokered Dayton accord, national elections
are to be held by Sept. 14 as part of the process of re-stitching
together the regions of Bosnia now dominated by Muslims, Serbs
and Croats.
But diplomats had assumed that the Serbian separatist leaders
ho have been indicted for war crimes, the political leader Radovan
Karadzic and the army leader Gen. Ratko Mladic, would have been
forced from power by now, that refugees would have the ability to
return to their homes and that all sides would cooperate with
international supervisors, none of which has occurred.
The administration, facing its own election in November, is
anxious to avoid delays that would suggest that the Dayton
plan is a failure, or that American troops might need to stay in
osnia past the end of the year.
American and European officials also argue that creating a
national assembly and presidency would help the long-term
prospect for unity, however tainted the election. The
Muslim-dominated Bosnian government and some international monitors dispute this, fearing that the planned elections will only legitimize the country's ethnic divisions and past ethnic cleansing.
Cotti refused to indicate whether minimal conditions to hold
elections were now in place, saying he did not want to "make
public my personal opinion." But he added that while he would
take into consideration the opinions of the nations involved in the
peace process, their positions "will not be decisive for us."
"We have to act from our own conscience," he said. "My
impression now is that we need to make further progress."
The 57-year-old Swiss official has made four trips to Bosnia
since the peace agreement was signed in December to meet with
leaders and various opposition figures. He is planning a fifth visit.
By the end of June or the beginning of July, he said, he will ask
Robert H. Frowick, the American diplomat who heads the monitoring
group's mission in Bosnia, to make a recommendation on elections.
That recommendation will be discussed at the permanent council of
the group's members in Vienna, which includes virtually all Western
nations, including the United States, as well as Russia, and then
passed on to Cotti for approval or rejection.
Cotti must make a decision by July 14 if elections are to go ahead,
allowing for two months of campaigning, by Sept. 14, the date called
for in the Dayton plan.
But Cotti, in the words of an exasperated American diplomat, "is
taking his position as chairman of the OSCE more seriously than
we expected."
After a report this week in The New York Times that Frowick
had instructed his field staff to stress "positive" developments in
weekly reports, Cotti wrote a stern letter to Frowick, saying he
expects a fair and accurate assessment of events in Bosnia.
Diplomats who have worked closely with the Swiss official said
he is deeply concerned about the inability to remove Karadzic --
who controls the Bosnian Serb police and media -- as well as
attacks on minorities and opposition leaders, the lack of freedom
of movement and inability to guarantee free expression. These
problems have been noted in all regions but are considered worst
in the Serbian and Croatian parts of the country.
"The presence of indicted war criminals is an obstacle to free
elections," Cotti said.
He says he fears that if Serbian, Croatian and Muslim
nationalists control and dominate the elections, those who want to
rebuild an integrated Bosnia that cuts across national lines will
have no voice in the country. Allowing nationalists to usurp the vote,
he believes, would only bolster the ethnic intolerance that triggered
the war.
"If we do not hold free and fair elections, if minorities and opposition parties are not given a voice in the process, then elections will serve only to create new conflicts, even armed conflicts," he said in his office.
"Elections will not eliminate nationalism," he said. "Nationalism
deeply colors the soul of the population there. But we need to
establish conditions so these minorities, who are against nationalist
policies, can be represented in the parliament. It would be important
progress if we established a parliament where different tendencies
were represented."
"It will be impossible to type all this into a computer and get an
answer," he said. "We are not perfectionists. These will not be
perfect democratic elections, such as those in the United States
or Switzerland, but some minimal conditions have to be met. It will
be a difficult evaluation."