By William Pfaff Los Angeles Times Syndicate,
International Herald Tribune p.10 19 NOV 1998
PARIS - The United States now is engaged in
nation-building in the Balkans, attempting to fulfill
Woodrow Wilson's ambition to do away with the ''jealousies
and rivalries of the complicated politics of Europe'' and
teach backward nations ''to elect good men.''
In 1919, Wilson offered the principles of Balkan reform,
but he left the practice to others. Today in Kosovo, as
earlier in Bosnia, the United States is imposing structures
which assume that ethnic nationalism can in time be
overcome, and that people can be taught to be reasonable
and also to be content with being reasonable - a formidable
ambition.
The American draft plan for Kosovo, as reported by The
Washington Post, would restore autonomy to the province
and allow it to elect its own president and control its own
police and courts. The plan postpones negotiations on the
hardest problems, including who is going to control
Kosovo's substantial mineral resources.
It would give a fifth of the seats in the Yugoslav Federal
Republic's National Assembly to the Kosovo Albanians, put
Albanian representatives on the Yugoslav supreme court
and the supreme defense council, and provide human rights
guarantees. Kosovo elections would take place next
summer.
Christopher Hill, the American ambassador in Macedonia
and a leader in implementing U.S. Balkan policy, says that
it is ''indeed a hard job'' to build up a new Kosovo
government with a new relationship to Belgrade, but that
the latest U.S. draft plan goes ''pretty far in getting Serbia
out of the institutions of Kosovo.''
Neither Albanians nor the government of Slobodan
Milosevic are happy with this, but the momentum now is
with the United States, which disposes of the threat of
NATO bombing and is putting into Kosovo a U.S.-directed
international team of ''verifiers'' from the Organization for
Security and Cooperation in Europe. They in turn are to be
protected by an American-directed but French-led NATO
commando and helicopter force based in Macedonia.
The European allies are complaining that they hardly have
been consulted, although the European Union is paying
more for the Kosovo effort (and for Bosnia) than the United
States, and committing more men and women.
But the Europeans dealt themselves out of leadership in the
Balkan crisis in 1994 and 1995, and have since confirmed
that choice by making no effort to preempt the Kosovo
crisis, which everyone has known was due to erupt.
A French commentator, Philippe Grasset, has drawn
attention to the fact that in the summer of 1995, when
France initiated a French-British-Dutch rapid reaction force
for Bosnia (after UN troops were taken hostage by the
Serbs), with heavy weapons and armor, which with close
air support could have imposed its will on Bosnian Serb
forces, it was nonetheless France which insisted that the
United States and NATO take over leadership. There can be
no complaints now.
The Kosovo plan roughly resembles what has been done in
Bosnia, where NATO occupies the country. Outsiders are
imposing what they think is best for Bosnians and Croats.
They believe that their solutions, reasonable by
international liberal standards, are best for the Serbs as
well, and that the Serbs will eventually realize this.
Nation-building is an ambitious, not to say rash,
undertaking in a region where the existing nations or
proto-nations are recent, weak and divided internally. Even
their national movements are divided. There is a real risk in
these countries of national disintegration rather than
construction.
Nation-building demands a long-term human, institutional
and monetary investment, which the United States is
unlikely to sustain in a region as distant as the Balkans. It is
Europe whose interests are primarily involved.
The logical thrust of this neo-Wilsonian policy would be
creation of a greater Albania, with a greater Serbia and
greater Croatia as well, and an independent Bosnia enjoying
international guarantees. This upsets assumptions about
international law and the inviolability of existing
sovereignties. But, as the Balkan specialist Xavier Bougarel
has written: ''What is the coherence of an international law
which keeps inside [Serbian-dominated] Yugoslavia the one
territorial entity which ... doesn't belong there?''
The Dayton federation of Bosnia and Croatia, and a new
semi-autonomous Kosovo, are artificial political entities
almost certainly incapable of sustaining themselves once
foreign troops and observers leave. The former served to
halt a war, and the latter may do as much, but the serious
question is what comes after them.