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Partito Radicale Michele - 12 novembre 1999
OSI/MONTENEGRO WATCH #1

M O N T E N E G R O W A T C H # 1 -- N o v e m b e r 9, 1 9 9 9

Montenegro Watch, a bulletin reporting political, economic and security

developments on Montenegro

Issued by the Open Society Institute (Washington office)

Please communicate any questions, comments or requests to receive Serbia

Watch to:

Kristine Powers at 202-496-2401 or .

"It is obvious that the Montenegrin authorities are increasingly sinking

into the separatist abyss and that the citizens of Montenegro will suffer

most from the consequences of such a policy...Offering hospitality to

Mesic, Albright and other enemies of our nation and adopting hostile

attitudes towards everyone who comes from Serbia or comes from Montenegro

but is a political opponent of [President Milo] Djukanovic shows that the

regime in Podgorica has entered the first stage of separatist activities,

which is characterized by a gross misuse of the Montenegrin police, which

the Radicals and a large number of Montenegrin citizens will resolutely

oppose."

Statement by the Serbian Radical Party

Quoted by Tanjug state news agency, Nov. 7 - Belgrade

"The attempt to make meaningless the justification of the survival of the

FRY by legalizing the German mark does not have as a consequence only the

causing of anarchy in the economy but is another in a series of unconstitutional and illegal steps by the secessionist regime in Montenegro."

Statement by The Council of Popular Assemblies of Montenegro

Quoted by V.I.P. Daily News Report, November 9 - Podgorica

"I have informed Mrs. Albright of the measures that the Montenegrin

Government has taken...to protect the economic interest of Montenegrin

economy and Montenegrin citizens...we have been compelled to take this move

because we needed to protect the living standards of our population and to

enable further implementation and proceeding of our economic reforms...This

is not a prelude to secession by Montenegro, but an attempt to relieve the

pressures on the Montenegrin Government coming from the economic and living

standards considerations so that these issues of the status of Montenegro

can be put off and the atmosphere and the pressures to bring up the status

of Montenegro could be taken up in a more relaxed atmosphere at a later time."

Milo Djukanovic, President of Montenegro Joint Press Conference with Secretary of State Albright, November 4 - Washington

"The United States supports a democratic Montenegro within a democratic and

reformed Yugoslavia, and President Djukanovic assured me that this, too, is

his objective. As we have repeatedly emphasized over the past year, we have

an important interest in the security of the region, including that of

Montenegro. President Djukanovic briefed me today on his efforts to

insulate Montenegro economically from Milosevic's disastrous policies by

legalizing the use of foreign currency. We understand the desire of all

Yugoslavs in Serbia and Montenegro for monetary stability and full

participation in the global economy."

Madeleine Albright, U.S. Secretary of State

Joint Press Conference with President Djukanovic, November 4 - Washington

"I want to say that Montenegro's security was a real focus of attention in

Washington, that great concern of their political circles in this respect

was reiterated. They also expressed a lot of good will towards Montenegro

and their willingness to offer both protection and support to the

Montenegrin democratic project, if it is threatened by violence in any

way...I tried to convince my interlocutors that it would be more rational

to make adequate and timely moves to express their support, which could act

preventative in pre-conflict situations and prevent many unwanted

situations and incidents which we experienced in southeastern Europe in the

past several years. I wanted to convince them that not only shall we profit

from such a policy, but it could be very useful for them as key

international players, and not only useful but very sensible as well.

Intervention after a conflict always costs infinitely more than a timely

intervention before a conflict."

Milo Djukanovic, President of Montenegro

Quoted by Montenegro's state TV Crna Gora, November 6 - Podgorica

IN THIS SPECIAL MONTENEGRO UPDATE:

Djukanovic meets senior US officials; gets "carefully worded" support

Djukanovic "expects concrete aid"

Pentagon on Montenegro security guarantee

Implementation of parallel currency

Monetary measures declared "illegal, dangerous"

Yugoslav National Bank bans transfer of money between republics

Independence referendum to be delayed indefinitely

Montenegro arrests Belgrade officials

Montenegrin militia, assembly councils organizing

Vujanovic meets indicted war criminal; Djukanovic won't risk arrest

Power shifts in federal ranks?

51% of Serbs believe in "full equality" of republics

POLITICAL PARTIES & LEADERS:

Montenegrin Political Parties

DPS-Democratic Party of Socialists (Milo Djukanovic, Montenegro pres.)

NS - People's Party of Montenegro (Novak Kilibarda, president)

SNP - Socialist People's Party of Montenegro (Momir Bulatovic, president)

SDP - Social Democratic Party of Montenegro (Zarko Rakcevic, president)

Serbian Ruling Coalition

SPS - Serbian Socialist Party: (Slobodan Milosevic, FRY president)

SRS - Serbian Radical Party: (Vojislav Seselj, Serbia's deputy PM)

JUL - Yugoslav United Left: (Mira Markovic, president)

I. DIPLOMACY

DJUKANOVIC MEETS SENIOR US OFFICIALS; GETS "CAREFULLY WORDED" SUPPORT

* "Montenegrin President Milo Djukanovic has expressed his pleasure over

the results of his visit to the U.S., and said that his talks with U.S.

officials had fortified their clear political support to Montenegro.

'Montenegro has received economic assistance that would enable our

reform-oriented projects to develop at a steady pace in the future,' the

Podgorica media quoted Djukanovic as saying on Nov. 7...Djukanovic said...

the [currency] move was a forced measure aimed at preserving the results of

economic reforms achieved so far." (BETA news agency-Belgrade, Nov. 8)

* U.S. Secretary of State Madeleine Albright: "President Djukanovic's

government was democratically elected. His proposals for reform enjoy

popular support and the United States wanted to help him succeed. To that

end, we have committed $55 million in support for Montenegro this fiscal

year. We have exempted Montenegrin enterprises from the sanctions Serbia

faces and we are looking at other ways to help. We are working with

Congress to insure that, although we don't yet have a budget for next year,

our support will continue. (Joint Press Conference of Secretary Albright

and President Djukanovic, Washington, Nov. 4)

* "The United States Thursday sent Belgrade an implicit warning to keep

its hands off Montenegro...'We have an important interest in the security

of the region, including that of Montenegro,' U.S. Secretary of State

Madeline Albright told a joint news conference after talks with Montenegrin

President Milo Djukanovic. 'That statement was very carefully worded and

it's a direct message,' added a senior State Department official...The

State Department official said one idea [to help Montenegro] was to allow

international flights to and from Montenegro, bypassing the ban on flights

imposed on Serbia. 'That was discussed,' he added." (Reuters, Nov. 4)

"During the Kosovo war last spring, NATO was said to have signaled to

Montenegro it would provide support if the province's relative autonomy

were threatened. But the gesture remained short of an explicit security

guarantee, a U.S. government official said in a Nov. 2 interview. Rather,

NATO conveyed its 'security interest' in the region, which 'by inference'

extended to Montenegro, the official said. Since the end of the war over

Kosovo, European governments have been inclined to avoid further military

action in the Balkans, despite their political support for the current

Montenegrin leadership, a number of regional experts have observed" (Inside

the Pentagon, Nov. 4)

* "President Milo Djukanovic has said that he obtained 'absolute support'

for Montenegro's recent monetary moves during his visit to the USA, and

that Montenegro is to get between $35-40 million in aid to secure the

implementation of its reforms...[Djukanovic said]: 'The visit to the USA,

which took place at the invitation of Secretary of State Madeleine

Albright, was an opportunity to maintain the continuity of the intensive

dialogue in which we and US officials recently engaged. The number and rank

of officials we met during the visit to Washington bear witness to the

importance the USA attaches to Montenegro and its project of democratic

reforms...the visit was characterized by the focus on the current status of

Montenegro's democratic reforms, security in Yugoslavia and the region,

and, finally, the issue of the economic support for further reforms in

Montenegro and for the democratization of the Federal Republic of

Yugoslavia...A part of the international community is in two minds about

the motives and the direction of some moves made by the Montenegrin

government recently with the aim of furthering reforms. I mean primarily

the monetary project, which, as you know, has met with a rather restrained

response from the international community. I think it is very important and

a great success that we resolved all dilemmas in Washington. We have heard

words of absolute support for Montenegro's move in the past two or three

days.' " (TV Crna Gora, Nov. 6) "Djukanovic pointed out as most

important the fact that in talks with US officials, he had received

promises that Montenegro would continue to have Washington's political and

economic support, and that the US would attempt to engage its European

allies in this direction." (V.I.P.-Belgrade Daily News Report, Nov. 8)

DJUKANOVIC "EXPECTS CONCRETE AID"

* "Montenegrin President Milo Djukanovic said that he understands the

concern of part of the international community that the latest steps by the

Montenegrin government could provoke FRY President Slobodan Milosevic into

launching 'the next destruction in the Balkans,' Podgorica media said on

Monday. He said that concern is not enough and that the international

community should take concrete steps to protect Podgorica. He added that

Montenegro expects concrete economic aid from the international community

and that it would be in the interest of not only Montenegro but the entire

region." (V.I.P. Daily News Report, Nov. 9)

* "The American Congress today pledged 40 million dollars in aid to

Montenegro, announced the US Secretary of Finance Lawrence Summers after

his meeting with Montenegrin President Milo Djukanovic. On his return from

the US, Djukanovic spoke on Montenegrin television about his meeting with

US Secretary of State Madeleine Albright saying that their meeting was the

opportunity for him to demand concrete economic aid for democratic reform

in the southern republic." (Radio B2-92-Belgrade, Nov. 6) Djukanovic told

Montenegrin TV Crna Gora: "The US Congress has adopted a law on external

financial operations whereby Montenegro will get between $35-40 million in

aid. I think that this is of great importance now that Montenegro's

monetary stability is of critical importance and when foundations are being

laid for long-term economic stability." (TV Crna Gora-Podgorica, Nov. 6)

"In the course of the talks with US Finance Department experts and USAID

representatives, Djukanovic agreed on the arrival of US monetary experts

in Montenegro. They are supposed to help Montenegrin government experts in

the monetary and economic reforms, but are also likely to control how the

financial assistance received from the US will be spent in Montenegro."

(V.I.P. Daily News Report, Nov. 8)

* "Serbian Vice-Premier and Serbian Radical party leader Vojislav Seselj

said on Nov. 9, that the Montenegrin authorities had received US$40 million

from the U.S. government 'to work against Serbia.' Addressing the Serbian

legislature, Seselj said that the U.S. authorities 'have set aside US$100

million' for the opposition in Serbia and that 'US$12 million have already

been delivered.' He went on to say that the opposition was split into

numerous parties so that 'as many leaders as possible would get money from

the Americans.' " (BETA news agency, Nov. 10)

PENTAGON ON MONTENEGRO SECURITY GUARANTEE

* "Q Has General Clark been authorized to begin planning for a defense

of Montenegro in the event that the government there gets overthrown by

Milosevic and Belgrade?

COL. CROWLEY: As you know, Jim, we have had our close and watchful eye on

Montenegro going back to the Kosovo conflict earlier this year. We have

specifically warned President Milosevic not to take any action that would

undermine the Djukanovic government. That said, we at all times are both

reviewing developments in the region; our CINCs are always developing and

updating contingency plans. I'm not in a position to make any specific

comment from the podium. But Montenegro is an area that we watch very

closely. President Djukanovic was here last week. And we continue to

support his regime within the rubric of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia.

Q Was he given any assurances that the United States would come to his

defense if the Yugoslavs or Belgrade

COL. CROWLEY: We have specifically warned President Milosevic of the

seriousness of taking any move that would undermine the Djukanovic

government. I'll leave it there." (Dept. Of Defense daily briefing, Nov. 9)

II. ECONOMY

IMPLEMENTATION OF PARALLEL CURRENCY

* "Montenegro paid civil service salaries in marks on Saturday for the

first time since legalizing the German currency alongside the dinar. The

payments were a day late because of delays in bringing the small notes and

coins from Germany, an official said." (Reuters, Nov. 6) "The Montenegrin

government's decision on the introduction of dual currency is being

implemented with the increasing consistency, and there is less and less

hesitation and misunderstanding both in shops and among the public. The

first salaries have been paid in German marks, and pensions will soon be

paid in the same way. There are enough coins in circulation, and prices are

marked in both currencies almost everywhere. Teams of inspectors have

stepped up the control of the implementation of the government's measures.

The Monetary Council is in session every day and follows the implementation

of the dual currency system, seeking the least painful solutions to serious

consequences of Belgrade's unilateral decision to suspend payment

transactions with Montenegro. The Monetary Council set the German mark

exchange rate at 17 dinars for one German mark, and will announce the

official exchange rate on a daily basis from tomorrow." (Montena-fax news

agency, Nov. 7)

* "Director of the accounts and payments department of Montenegro

Dimitrije Vesovic, said...'Daily earnings are being paid in marks without

obstruction although there were fears that people will, customarily, keep

marks for other transactions, not for regular payments. Obviously, people

are being freed of that fear,' Vesovic said. He told TV Montenegro that

payments have started in marks, that the public sector received salaries in

marks and that soon pensions will be paid in marks. He said he expects

salaries in marks to be paid these days by the Aluminum Combine and

companies in...electricity, bauxite mines and coal mine - and that the

banking sector also received foreign currency through deposits in business

bank accounts. 'We expect that in two months, two thirds of the employed in

Montenegro, as well as those who have payments from the system of aid or

other payments, will receive payments in marks which is quite enough for

the system to come alive completely and the one third which won't receive

payments in marks to adapt its business relations with the environment and

to insist on payments in marks,' Vesovic said." (V.I.P. Daily News Report,

Nov.9)

* "The presidency of the Alliance of Independent Trade Unions of

Montenegro warned on Nov. 9, that the introduction of a dual currency

system 'has resulted in a sharp daily rise in prices, jeopardizing the

already difficult living conditions. Contrary to its announced purpose, the

dual currency system has additionally endangered the standard of living of

workers, pensioners and the population in general,' said the trade union's

presidency, demanding that a minimum wage be set at 82 German marks per

month." (BETA news agency, Nov. 10)

* "The Montenegrin Monetary Council also decided Saturday to impose tight

control over financial transactions between the two republics. Dimitrije

Vesovic, a member of the monetary council said that all interrepublic

financial transactions would be controlled and those suspected of attacking

the Montenegrin monetary system would be canceled. Meanwhile, newspapers in

neighboring Croatia quoted unnamed sources Saturday as saying that 34.5

tons of German marks had been flown in from Germany to Croatia's Dubrovnik

airport. Several metal boxes were then transported in two trucks with

Montenegrin license plates on Friday. The Croatian daily Vecernji also

reported that two trucks carrying German coins passed through the Croatia -

Montenegro border Friday." (Associated Press, Nov. 6)

* "The National Bank of Montenegro is preparing measures for limiting

hard currency and dinar amounts that can be taken in and out of that

republic. According to a source from the bank, a single person will not be

allowed to take more than 200 German marks out of Montenegro or to bring in

more than 3,000 dinars. The final decision on that issue will be made by

the Currency Board of Montenegro which, after the introduction of the

German mark as a parallel currency, has been charged with taking care of

the monetary system's stability in that republic." (BETA news agency, Nov.

10)

* "As of Nov. 7, the Jugopetrol of Kotor limited the sale of gasoline for

dinars at its gas stations in Podgorica. Drivers will be able to get only

20 liters of gasoline per month for their dinar coupons issued at the gas

stations. There are no restrictions imposed on the sale of gasoline for

D-marks, a salesman at one gas station told BETA, and added that the main

office in Kotor limited the delivery of oil derivatives. The Jugopetrol of

Kotor is the main supplier of Montenegro's gasoline market. The Jugopetrol

sells a liter of unleaded or super gasoline for 17 dinars or one

deutschmark, while diesel is sold for 11.9 dinars, that is, 0.7 deutschmark

per liter." (BETA news agency, Nov. 8)

* "Several experts also pointed out that economic recovery for Montenegro

will require more than this week's action on the currency. Without greater

privatization and banking reform, one U.S. government official told ITP

this week, Montenegro's economic situation remains shaky. The net effect of

the currency declaration could yet be greater destabilization to the

region. In this official's view, the announcement on moving to adopt the

mark appeared unnecessary economically and was meant mainly as a political

warning to Milosevic." (Inside the Pentagon, Nov. 4)

* "Predrag Drecun, Montenegro's minister for labour and social issues,

said that the republic now needs about half a billion German marks to

solve unemployment, media report on Tuesday. Drecun warned that there is a

real 'social bomb' in the Montenegrin economy because the state did not

aliment all the social needs of the population. 'Assessments are that 30%

of the employed in Montenegro are a technological surplus, which means

about 25,000 workers. If that number is multiplied by 6,000 marks needed to

open a new job, and to it added about 30,000 people who are prepared to

leave state companies to start small and medium businesses, and if that is

multiplied by 6,000 marks, a rough estimate shows that Montenegro needs

about half a billion German marks to resolve the problem of unemployment,'

Drecun said." (V.I.P. Daily News Report, Nov. 9)

MONETARY MEASURES DECLARED "ILLEGAL, DANGEROUS"

* "Federal Finance Minister Dragisa Pesic told Tanjug today that the

monetary measures and decisions that the Montenegrin Government passed on

2nd November are illegal and legally unfounded, because they were adopted

without regarding legal rules that regulate the monetary policy at the

federal level. We are talking about illegal and unconstitutional decisions

made for political reasons, even though those who made them claim that they

did so for economic and social reasons, Pesic said, adding that they were

aimed at directly inflicting as much damage on Serbia and the Federal

Republic of Yugoslavia as possible. Stressing primarily the economic damage

that these decisions would cause the federal state, the finance minister

said that for the purpose Montenegro had set up a special independent

bank, which could also issue money without cover, thus creating

inflationary chaos." (Tanjug state news agency, Nov. 6)

* "Ivan Dacic, the spokesman for Milosevic's Socialist Party, on 4

November described Montenegro's new currency policy as a 'move carried out

by NATO which is using this puppet creation only as a means to an end.'

Serbian Radical Party head Vojislav Seselj said Montenegro's leadership is

heading for 'all-out secession,' which he called 'a very dangerous

direction.' " (RFE/RL Newsline, Nov. 8)

YUGOSLAV NATIONAL BANK BANS TRANSFER OF MONEY BETWEEN REPUBLICS

* "The governor of the National Bank of Yugoslavia (NBJ), Dusan

Vlatkovic, today said that the NBJ 'has made the decision banning legal

persons from transferring money from Montenegro to Serbia from today.' That

decision was made 'with a view to preventing a possible uncontrolled money

issue on Montenegrin territory,' reads the announcement. 'Following the

decision made by the government of the Republic of Montenegro on 2nd

November 1999 regarding the sphere of monetary system, it has not been

possible for the NBJ, that is, the Accounting and Payments Institute [ZOP],

to carry out regular audits of payment transactions at the ZOP [branch] on

Montenegrin territory,' NBJ Governor Dusan Vlatkovic said." (BETA news

agency, Nov. 4)

* "Yugoslav minister for relations with foreign international

organizations Borka Vucic...said that the suspension would last until the

Yugoslav Payment Operations Service regains control over payment operations

in the FRY. Vucic said that 'normal work would resume when state control is

reestablished there [in Montenegro] and when we have a unified payment

operations system and as single Office for Settlements and Payments,

according to the law,' the state news agency Tanjug reports. During her

visit to the Belgrade Fair, Vucic said that the dinar's value in Montenegro

relative to the Deutschmark was not realistic and that the official

exchange rate in that republic should be six dinars to the mark, just as in

Serbia. Vucic, who is also president of Beogradska Banka, said that the

offices of that bank in Montenegro would continue their operation in

accordance with the Law on the National Bank of Yugoslavia and other

regulations." (V.I.P. Daily News Report, Nov.9)

* "Serbian pensioners living in Montenegro will have to exercise their

rights in Serbia, because of a unilateral break of payment traffic between

Serbia and Montenegro, Radule Nonovic of the Montenegrin Post told BETA on

Nov. 9. Nonovic said that no funds for their pensions arrived to

Montenegro, and that those pensioners will have to exercise their rights in

some other way. However, it was said in the Serbian Pension Fund that it

paid in all the money for the second half of the September pensions,

including some 3,000 pensioners living in Montenegro." (BETA news agency,

Nov. 10) "Belgrade's unilateral decision to suspend payment transactions

with Montenegro has led to the blocking of accounts with the postal bank on

Montenegrin territory, where 29,000 have current accounts with the post

office. All customers of the postal bank will be affected by the decision,

as were those whose salaries were supposed to be paid from Serbia into

their giro accounts (whose payments come from Serbia) with the postal bank

yesterday. According to Branimir Gvozdenovic, director of the Montenegrin

Post and Telecommunications, every effort will be made to ensure that giro

account holders are not short-changed, but is uncertain when this will be.

A solution has already been found for giro account holders in Montenegro

who will be paid in cash." (Montena-fax news agency, Nov. 6)

* "Zlatan Perucic director of Beobanka said that banks in Serbia had not

yet received instructions on dealings with Montenegro. He said he expects

this will be discussed at a session of the Association of Yugoslav Banks

which will be held this week, Blic says on Tuesday. He said it's early to

talk of the consequences of the introduction of a parallel currency but

added that this is a politically motivated step by Podgorica. Perucic said

only Montenegro might suffer damages because it's a big question whether

the republic has the economic strength to defend the legalization of a

foreign currency. Perucic said it's not realistic to expect an end to

payments and goods traffic between the two republics and added that

Beobanka branches are not having any difficulties in their operations. The

largest meat processor in the FRY, Carnex of Vrbas and the Vrbas food

producer stopped deliveries to the Montenegrin market at the request of the

Serbian government, B292 radio said on Monday. The station said that a

meeting with those producers was held in the Serbian government on Monday

which said the deliveries of goods were temporarily stopped because some

things in the functioning of the balance of payments with Montenegro were

not clear." (V.I.P. Daily News Report, Nov.9)

* "Montenegro's Prime Minister Filip Vujanovic has Saturday accused the

Yugoslav Central Bank governor of suspending payments between Montenegro

and Serbia...for entirely political motives, with the aim of destabilizing

Montenegro and causing further economic pressure...[Vujanovic] said he

assumed the Belgrade decision would result in a halt to the movement of

goods from Montenegro into Serbia and consequently, 'We have reduced

dependence on Serbia in large measure and have secured alternative

markets.' In the meantime, Montenegro's monetary council has decided to

accept dinar remittances from Serbia selectively. 'Whatever we estimate to

be an incursion into our monetary system we will not carry through,'

council member Dimitrije Vesovic was quoted by radio B2-92 as saying

Saturday. He said Montenegro had decided to take a softer line than Serbia

and to accept remittances from the neighboring republic selectively so that

Montenegrin firms were not adversely affected. Vesovic said, 'Serbia

refuses to accept dinar remittances from Montenegro and Montenegro will not

transfer foreign currency remittances to Serbia because of the

non-convertibility of its system.' " (United Press International, Nov.6)

* "The head of the Montenegrin institute for accounts and payment

transactions and a member of the Montenegrin monetary council, Dimitrije

Vesovic, has said that the unilateral decision to stop payment transactions

between Serbia and Montenegro is a purely political decision backed by - as

he put it - a ludicrous justification about Montenegro's possible incursion

into the payment transaction system in Serbia. Vesovic said that the move

by the Yugoslav National Bank governor was explained with the fact that

Vesovic had not allowed Belgrade controllers to inspect the monetary

council treasury. Vesovic added that this was just an excuse. Immediately

following the decision to introduce parallel currency, a couple of

controllers came from Belgrade to inspect our treasury and accounts. I did

not receive them because I do not regard them as authorized to do this, but

rather the Montenegrin National Bank, Vesovic said, adding that this was

allegedly the reason for the Yugoslav National Bank governor to end payment

transactions with Montenegro allegedly in order to prevent uncontrolled

flow or money from Montenegro to Serbia." (Radio Montenegro, Nov. 5)

* "Federal customs management is no longer functioning on the territory

of Montenegro, Customs Director Mihajl Kertes told media today. 'Montenegro

has not paid customs income into the federal budget for the past two years,

and that debt is now close to 910 million dinars,' said Kertes. The federal

customs director added that neither the border with Albania nor the border

between Montenegro and Kosovo were functioning. However, he said, illegal

entry of goods was being prevented by eighteen police checkpoints on the

border. Kertes added that the petrol now being sold on streets throughout

Serbia was not contraband, saying that this was from legal imports which

had proved the key to the success of the economy this year." (Radio B2-92,

Nov. 9)

* The Montenegrin Monetary Council responded last night to the decision

made by the Yugoslav National Bank ... with the introduction of a program

of selective acceptance of payments from Serbia. All payments from Serbia

will be checked and those that pose a threat to the new monetary system

will be rejected." (Radio B2-92, Nov. 6)

* "The Montenegrin Monetary Council has decided to allow selective dinar

payments from Serbia, to a level which would not cause problems for

monetary stability, it was reported in Podgorica today. The Montenegrin

Institute for Accounts and Payments [ZOP] verified yesterday the payment of

6 million dinars from Serbia to enterprises in Montenegro. ZOP said that it

will 'allow payments related to the flow of money, goods and production,

but payments for other purposes will not be allowed to enter the

Montenegrin payment transactions.' The Montenegrin ZOP has announced that

it will 'not forward foreign currency payments for customers in Serbia,

because the systems of the two federal units are no longer compatible.' ZOP

said that this was a response to the Serbian decision to ban dinar payments

from Montenegro. According to the ZOP report, 'foreign currency users from

Serbia could authorize someone in Montenegro to withdraw the foreign

currency and transfer it to Serbia, with proof that the foreign currency

was legally obtained' . The director of the Montenegrin Post Office,

Branimir Govzdenovic, said that the Postal Savings Bank has agreed to

forward salary and pension payments from Serbia to the customers' current

accounts." (SRNA news agency-Bijeljina, Nov. 6)

PODGORICA NULLS RESPONSE

* "The director of the Montenegrin Payment Traffic Authority and a

member of the Currency Board, Dimitrije Vesovic, said on Nov. 5 that the

board will certainly respond to a decision by the Yugoslav Central Bank on

the halting of payment traffic with Montenegro by taking reciprocal

measures. A member of the Montenegrin currency board Bozidar Gazivoda said

on Nov. 5 that Podgorica would not retaliate to the Central Bank's decision

to limit the payment traffic between Serbia and Montenegro. 'We will not

introduce sanctions as they did... for we believe that this was a rash act

by Serbia and that it will be abandoned,' said Gazivoda" (BETA news agency,

Nov. 8) "The economy minister of pro-Western Montenegro was quoted on

Friday as saying that the Yugoslav dinar might be taken out of

circulation....There had been reports that Montenegro's newly established

monetary council planned it for that measures against Serbia, but the body

met on Friday without any such decisions." (Reuters, Nov. 5) When asked by

a journalist whether there was a risk of a foreign currency drain to Serbia

if payment transactions were made exclusively in foreign currency, Vesovic

replied that economic subjects in Montenegro would continue to obtain

certain goods from Serbia which had to be bought anyway, if prices were

competitive compared to other countries." (Montena-fax news agency, Nov. 5)

III. POLITICAL AND SECURITY DEVELOPMENTS

INDEPENDENCE REFERENDUM TO BE DELAYED INDEFINITELY

* "The chairman of the executive committee of the Democratic Party of

Socialists of Montenegro [DPS - led by President Djukanovic], Miodrag

Vukovic, who is also presidential adviser for the constitutional system,

has said that Montenegro will hold a referendum on the status of the

republic regardless of whether the response from Serbia to Montenegro's

offer on the redefinition of relations is positive or negative. 'Our offer

to the Republic of Serbia is the offer for a new beginning. Montenegro will

act in line with the constitution in any case. If the response from Serbia

is positive, we shall ask our citizens if they want to live in such a

federation. If Serbia's response is negative, we shall ask our citizens on

the future status of Montenegro,' Vukovic said at a round table of

Montenegrin legal experts in Podgorica yesterday. He added that Montenegro

was already a state with a developed democratic infrastructure and that it

was striving towards European and wider integrations." (Radio Montenegro,

Nov. 7) "Should Serbia respond positively to the Montenegrin government's

offer to re-define relations between Montenegro and Serbia, at the

referendum, as Vukovic put it, the citizens will answer the question as to

whether they want to live in a re-defined community of two republics. On

the other hand, if Serbia gives a negative reply, the referendum will be

slated in order for the citizens to declare themselves on the state and

legal status of Montenegro." (V.I.P. Daily News Report, Nov. 8)

* "Montenegrin President Milo Djukanovic...has recently told Western

leaders he would delay indefinitely an earlier planned referendum on

secession from Yugoslavia, so as not to provoke a new military crisis in

the Balkans. But Djukanovic took the currency measure this week under

growing pressure to protect his nation's economy against the dinar's rapid

inflation." (Inside the Pentagon, Nov. 4)

* "Many believe the risk of a crisis remains low because Yugoslavian

President Slobodan Milosevic is eager to avoid a conflict with Montenegro

in the short term...Milosevic has said he would not use force to stop

Montenegro from declaring full independence from Yugoslavia if that is the

will of its people. But the Yugoslavian leader has warned that a civil war

could break out inside the province, leaving open the possibility that the

approximately 12,000 Yugoslavian troops stationed in Montenegro would

provide firepower and logistics support to pro-Belgrade factions there...If

war does break out, Djukanovic has at his disposal a security force of

10,000 to 15,000 troops -- roughly the size of Milosevic's force in the

province. But on its own the Montenegrin security force would likely be no

match for the armor Milosevic could bring in, sources said." (Inside the

Pentagon, Nov. 4)

BELGRADE: PODGORICA "IMPLEMENTING U.S. INSTRUCTIONS"

* "Serbian Information Minister Aleksandar Vucic has said that the

Montenegrin authorities are implementing separatist policies on US

instructions. What Madeleine Albright says, they will implement, Vucic told

the Belgrade-based Palma TV. He accused the USA of conducting barbarous and

totalitarian policies. He stressed that the Serbian Radical Party would

'protect Slobodan Milosevic's head as long as Americans were attacking him.

Milosevic is one of the USA's enemies. They want his head, and we shall

defend his head. The Americans accused him of committing war crimes. War

criminals accused him of war crimes. What better reason do you need to

defend him,' the Serbian information minister said. Asked whether he feared

that he would be brought to The Hague, Vucic gave a negative reply. I would

be glad to be invited there. I am proud of everything I did to the Albanian

terrorist media, Aleksandar Vucic said." (Radio B2-92, Nov. 5)

* "The deputy chairman of the [Montenegro] Socialist People's Party

Predrag Bulatovic, has announced the possibility of Serbia adopting its own

platform on redefining relations within the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia,

Podgorica-based Pobjeda reported in its latest edition. Bulatovic added

that a nationalist movement could appear in Serbia if Montenegro were to

secede. He said that such a movement could exert nationalist pressure on

(Serbian) citizens born in Montenegro." (Radio Bosnia-Herzegovina, Nov. 7)

MONTENEGRIN MILITIA, ASSEMBLY COUNCILS ORGANIZING

* "The council of popular assemblies of Montenegro, an association formed

after the recent clan gatherings and registered in Belgrade, organized an

action of signing statements under which citizens swear to consistently and

to the end defend the joint state of Montenegro and Serbia, V.I.P.'s

Podgorica correspondent reported. A statement by the council said that the

signed statement 'is an expression of the joint thoughts and feelings of

the citizens of Montenegro and obligations towards heirs because of which

Montenegrins lived and died.' " (V.I.P. Daily News Report, Nov. 9)

* "The Montenegrin Liberation Movement [COP, pro-independence

paramilitary organization based in Cetinje] has 20,000 members who are

prepared to defend Montenegro, COP leader Bobo Bogdanovic has said in

Cetinje. 'We now have 20,000 people under arms and they have been organized

into three territorial groups,' Bogdanovic told Reuters, and added that he

was not an enemy of the Serb people and that the COP would use force only

if Montenegro was directly threatened by the army of Yugoslav President

Slobodan Milosevic... Bogdanovic explained that the relationship between

the Montenegrin police and the COP was based on tolerance and that the

movement had been armed without the knowledge of the authorities. 'If we

are attacked, we will defend Montenegro regardless of what the authorities

would say or do. The Yugoslav Army is an occupying force here,' Bogdanovic

said." (SRNA news agency-Bijeljina, Nov. 6)

MONTENEGRO ARRESTS BELGRADE OFFICIALS

* "The Serbian Radical Party is informing the public that Nebojsa

Velickovic, federal minister without portfolio, was stopped by a

Montenegrin Ministry of Internal Affairs police patrol at the Ribarevina

police checkpoint [November 6], the party announced today. The head of the

police patrol told Minister Velickovic that the Yugoslav currency that he

was taking with him for travel expenses could not be taken into Montenegro

and that it must be taken away from him, which Minister Velickovic refused

to do. After being held for an hour, the minister was allowed to continue

his journey to Bar and was told in a very unpleasant manner 'not to try to

enter Montenegro in this way' in the future. The night before this

incident, Dusan Sekulic, assistant federal minister of internal affairs,

was stopped at the Kontari police checkpoint. A police patrol of the

Montenegrin Ministry of Internal Affairs tried to search his car, which is

federal government property. When Sekulic did not allow the search, he was

held for about an hour for no reason, after which the Montenegrin police

allowed him to continue his journey." (Tanjug state news agency Nov.7)

* "Radio B292 reported on Monday that the Montenegrin police controlled

drivers crossing from Serbia into Montenegro carrying foreign currency. The

Montenegrin government said drivers with larger amounts of foreign currency

will have their money temporarily taken away and added that the Montenegrin

police is obliged to give them receipts for the cash. Danas says on Tuesday

that the Montenegrin government decided that no one can take more than 300

deutschmarks out of Montenegro without a bank receipt but did not specify

when that measure was introduced. The Montenegrin police did not have

receipts on Monday nor did it know why the foreign currency was being taken

away, causing huge backups on the border, B292's Podgorica correspondent

reported but did not specify the amount of foreign currency taken away from

drivers. The station said that Montenegrin Industry Minister Vojin

Djukanovic said citizens could buy more than 20 liters of gasoline a month

for dinars but did not say how much more. Jugopetrol Kotor said over the

weekend that it would sell only 20 liters of fuel a month for dinars as of

Monday."(V.I.P. Daily News Report, Nov.9)

* "On Nov. 9 the Montenegrin Parliament discussed the Bill on Amnesty

which envisages the dropping of criminal charges against all persons who

failed to respond to a call-up in the March 15-June 30 period this year, or

willfully left the Yugoslav Army units in the same period. Representatives

of the coalition For a Better Life, who proposed the new amnesty law,

described it as a 'protective law' by which Montenegro 'will protect its

citizens from illegitimate actions of the illegitimate federal government.'

Representatives of the Socialist People Party contested the constitutional

grounds for passing a Montenegrin law on amnesty by pointing out that there

cannot be a republican law granting amnesty for offenses regulated by a

federal law. The discussion on the bill will continue on Nov. 10." (BETA

news agency, Nov. 10)

VUJANOVIC MEETS INDICTED WAR CRIMINAL; DJUKANOVIC WON'T RISK ARREST

* "President Djukanovic: "I wish first to state our firm commitment to

ensuring full cooperation with the International Tribunal in The Hague. We

regard this as an international obligation that Mr. Milosevic has assumed

at Dayton. And more than that formal consideration, we sincerely believe

that people who are indicted and suspected of having committed war crimes

must be held accountable for this. Still, I think that you will agree that

Montenegro is not the most responsible and is not that player which should

bring to the court, to the tribunal in The Hague, those who have been

suspected and indicted as war criminals, especially if such attempts from

our part were linked to a high degree of risks, risks that the

international community is cautioning Montenegro not to take."(Press

Conference of Secretary Albright and President Djukanovic, Nov. 4)

* "The Montenegro Helsinki Committee feels that the Montenegrin

government must respect the agreement which Montenegro signed by the

International War Crimes Tribunal in The Hague...The Montenegrin

authorities are still tolerating persons in Montenegro who have been

charged with war crimes,' committee Chairman Slobodan Franovic said

recalling that Montenegro was visited these days by General Dragoljub

Ojdanic who was charged with crimes in Kosovo. Franovic said that the

committee is additionally concerned because Ojdanic talked with Prime

Minister Vujanovic, but even more that the army is without any local

control and influence which could generate events in Montenegro according

to its will. 'We feel that because of obligations to justice, solidarity

and the victims all the obligations must be lifted from the people because

that is the certain way to sanction individuals who committed evil deeds

and violated human rights and liberties. A mood must be created for

individuals to be held responsible, not to bring entire nations under

suspicion,' Franovic said." (V.I.P. Daily News Report, Nov. 9)

* "Djukanovic and his U.S. hosts found reasons to explain away a meeting

on Thursday between Montenegrin Prime Minister Filip Vujanovic and Yugoslav

army chief of staff Dragoljub Ojdanic, who is an indicted war criminal

wanted for trial in The Hague. 'Montenegro is not the player which should

bring criminals, especially if such a step on our part were linked to a

high degree of risk, risk that the international community is cautioning

Montenegro not to take,' Djukanovic said. State Department spokesman James

Rubin added 'Secretary Albright has great confidence that if President

Djukanovic were free to act, than he would act in full conformity with the

need to cooperate with the War Crimes Tribunal. We believe that his

intention to cooperate with the tribunal is genuine.'" (Reuters, Nov. 4)

* "The Yugoslav Army is behaving in Montenegro like the private army of

Slobodan Milosevic, Montenegrin President Milo Djukanovic said in an

interview on CNN [Nov. 7]. Djukanovic said that the initiative for last

week's meeting between army chief Dragoljub Ojdanic and Montenegro's prime

minister, Filip Vujanovic, had definitely come from the army. The

Montenegrin president said that he was at a loss to explain the army's

motives, but said he seconded Vujanovic's view that there was great concern

about and opposition to the army behaving like a private security service

in Montenegro. Djukanovic added that he believed the army's attitude in

Montenegro was linked to Milosevic's plans to destabilise the democratic

government of Montenegro. (Radio B2-92, Nov. 8)

* "MP's of the Liberal Union of Montenegro accused the Montenegrin

authorities of not adhering to the previous pledge to arrest all those

suspected of war crimes who crossed into Montenegrin territory. 'Instead of

arresting the Yugoslav Army chief-of-staff, Gen. Dragosljub Ojdanic, the

Montenegrin Premier Filiip Vujanovic met with him in Podgorica,' said a

party MP Miodrag Zivkovic at a Montenegrin legislature session on Nov. 4.

Similar accusations also came from the former leader of that party, now an

MP, Slavko Perovic." (BETA news agency, Nov. 5)

* "Montenegrin Premier Filip Vujanovic and the Yugoslav Army's chief of

general staff, Dragoljub Ojdanic, discussed the current political situation

and security in the country, and Montenegro in particular. The talks,

conducted in the evening of Nov. 3, focused on relations between the

Yugoslav Army and the Republic of Montenegro's bodies and their

cooperation, with the aim of 'promoting peace, security and the general

well-being of citizens,' the premier's cabinet and the Second Army's

Information Service announced on Nov.4. The announcement specified that

Vujanovic met with Ojdanic 'in Montenegrin President Milo Djukanovic's

absence.' The Yugoslav Army general staff's Information service stated on

November 4 that General Ojdanic, accompanied by the Yugoslav Navy's Vice

Admiral Milan Zec, began the inspection of some Navy commands and units and

expressed satisfaction with their 'training and drill.' " (BETA news

agency, Nov. 5)

POWER SHIFTS IN FEDERAL RANKS?

* "Serbian health minister and Yugoslav Left official, Leposava

Milicevic, said in Lebane on Nov. 8, that her party will call for the

accountability of the Yugoslav federal government. At a special session of

the Lebane municipal assembly, commemorating the town's day of liberation

in World War Two, Milicevic said that 'this (federal) government and all

the parties in it turned a blind eye to the Yugoslav Left's proposals,

which can help this country in its misery and despair caused by the New

World Order' and she accused 'other parties' of usurping parts of the

Yugoslav Left's program and taking credit due others. She added that the

Yugoslav Left knows how the state and the people can avoid the nightmare

'towards which the world powers are pushing us,' and added that it will

call for the accountability of the federal government since, as Milicevic

said, the government was ignoring the renewal program recently sent by the

Yugoslav Left." (BETA news agency, Nov. 9)

*"Miodrag Vukovic, chairman of the executive board of the Montenegrin

Democratic Party of Socialists, told BETA on Nov. 8, he was not surprised

by the Yugoslav Left's announcement that it would 'demand that the federal

government be held accountable for what has happened, because everyone knew

that such a government could not last very long. That was a very unnatural

coalition of authentically Serb, allegedly civic, but in fact undeniably

national and nationalist parties, which clearly voiced their demands for a

united Yugoslavia, that is, a Greater Serbia,' Vukovic said. He added,

'There is also a political group from Montenegro that has been a faithful

servant of this coalition over the past two years, which manipulated its

voters by claiming to defend Yugoslavia from us 'separatists.' Vukovic went

on to say that statements by Serbian Radical Party leader Vojislav Seselj

alleging that '(Yugoslav prime minister) Momir Bulatovic has no say in what

goes on in the country,' and Yugoslav army chief of staff General Dragoljub

Ojdanic's claims that 'the two Bulatovics are to blame for conditions in

the army' and the Yugoslav Left's claims that the federal government is to

blame for everything 'can confuse only the uninformed.' In its Nov. 6

issue, the Podgorica based Vijesti newspaper quoted Gen. Ojdanic as saying

that prime minister Bulatovic, deputy prime minister Nikola Sainovic, and

federal defense minister Pavle Bulatovic were to blame for the poor

financing of the army. Momir Bulatovic's Socialist People's Party refused

on Nov. 8 to comment the above allegations, and party vice president

Predrag Bulatovic told BETA that he had yet to be informed of these

statements 'because it can turn out that this is a setup.' " (BETA news

agency, Nov. 9)

* "On Nov. 8 Yugoslav army headquarters denied allegations printed by the

Podgorica daily Vijesti that during his visit to the Second Army,

chief-of-staff General Dragoljub Ojdanic blamed Yugoslav prime minister

Momir Bulatovic, deputy prime ministers Nikola Sainovic, and defense

minister Pavle Bulatovic for the money shortage in the army. The army said

that 'the figures published in the daily represent a lie that confirms an

anti-Yugoslav and an anti-army editorial policy and another attempt to

encourage distrust of the state leadership and harm the many times proven

unity between the army and the people.' " (BETA news agency, Nov. 9)

* "Montenegrin vice premier Novak Kilibarda said on Nov. 8, that 'the

attack on the so-called federal government was expected. General Dragoljub

Ojdanic had hinted of such an attack, and it was clear that his criticism

of Momir and Pavle Bulatovic means the beginning of a process that will

bring new people into the federal government,' Kilibarda told BETA,

commenting announcements that the Yugoslav Left would call for the

accountability of the federal government. Kilibarda said that it 'is not a

bad thing,' but it could be if the government is replaced by a new one

'controlled by the Yugoslav Left.' Asked if it was possible that a new

federal government would include people from the ruling coalition in

Montenegro, Kilibarda said, 'They can only use people from the Socialist

People's Party who remain faithful to Milosevic. The Democratic Party of

Socialists, on the other hand, has an obligation to its coalition

partners.' " (BETA news agency, Nov. 9)

51% OF SERBS BELIEVE IN "FULL EQUALITY" OF REPUBLICS

* "Fifty-one per cent of the citizens of Serbia believe that the

Montenegrin leadership's demand for the full equality of the two federal

republics is justified, while 25 per cent believe that the Montenegrin

demand for constitutional equality in power sharing is unrealistic, a poll

conducted in September by the Mark Plan [Belgrade] agency has shown, as

reported by today's issue of Vijesti. Seventy percent of the citizens

polled in Montenegro were in favour of full equality with Serbia, while 12

percent said there was no justification for such a demand by the

Montenegrin leadership." (Montena-fax news agency, Nov. 5)

 
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