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- 13 giugno 2000
Re: Montenegro Watch
from:osi-dc@osi-dc.org

M O N T E N E G R O W A T C H # 22 - June 12, 2000

Montenegro Watch, a bulletin reporting political, economic and security

developments on Montenegro, is issued by the Open Society Institute (Washington office-John Fox,director). Please communicate any questions, comments

or requests to receive Montenegro Watch to Kristine Powers (researcher) at

202-496-2401 or

E L E C T I O N U P D A T E

"We were expecting to win. We worked hard, the people were on our side. I

believe the electoral victory has demonstrated the justification for the

formation of the coalition 'Yugoslavia', even though this coalition has been

seriously attacked by our political rivals, who are now part of the

opposition...These people have lived for centuries in these regions and they

cannot live without Serbia and without Yugoslavia. They have demonstrated

this once again and I congratulate them. I am happy. I shall work for Herceg

Novi, I shall work for my city, even though others say we receive orders

from Serbia. I love Serbia, I love Belgrade and I love my homeland -

Yugoslavia. I shall work for Herceg Novi, via Serbia as well."

Djuro Cetkovic, mayor-elect, Herceg Novi, "For Yugoslavia - Momir Bulatovic"

coalition

Quoted by Pobjeda daily, June 12 - Herceg Novi

"The electoral results have shown that we have done better than our

expectations, we have improved according to all parameters and now we shall

manage to govern alone in Podgorica. We have certainly obtained 28 seats in

the council which means that we no longer have to be threatened by joining

into any kind of coalition...We have obtained a few thousand votes more than

at the last elections. Our key political rivals, this time in a coalition,

have lost 4,500 votes. We have won in a big way and this represents real

political triumph of our policies in the capital...We shall analyze the

reasons for losing in Herceg Novi over the next few days, but there is no

time for despair. Our victory in Podgorica is much better and brighter than

our defeat in Herceg Novi."

Milo Djukanovic, President of Montenegro

Quoted by Vijesti daily, June 11-- Podgorica

"According to the information we have so far, we are better off in Podgorica

than we were at the previous elections, but we have to wait for all the

ballot papers to be counted...There was no fair, honest and equal match, as

is the case in democratic and civilized countries. Both groups which

originate from the former united DPS [the ruling DPS and the SNP] continue

to unscrupulously exploit the monopoly inherited from the communist

system...I primarily mean the exploitation carried out by the police, the

army, the fact that black-market war profiteering money is being used in

enormous amounts in terms of both the express works carried out in the

cities, to create the impression of a successful government, but also in

other ways including bribery, dealing out food parcels and so on."

Miroslav Miro Vickovic, president, Liberal Alliance of Crna Gora

Quoted by Agence France Presse, June 12 -- Podgorica

"Nothing spectacular has happened in Montenegro, and no major moves have

happened, so both sides can announce a victory."

Srdjan Darmanovic, director, Center for Democracy and Human Rights

Quoted by Agence France Presse, June 12 -- Podgorica

IN THIS MONTENEGRO WATCH:

-- DPS wins Podgorica, SNP takes Herceg Novi, LSCG loses out

-- Rival coalitions claim victory

-- 95% of votes tallied

-- Over 75% election turnout

-- Election results temptation for Belgrade?

-- OSCE okays elections

-- Djukanovic: "Democratic character" important

-- Bulatovic: E.U., U.S. "bribing voters"

-- Brief street clash in Podgorica

-- Elections cover 1/3 of republic

POLITICAL PARTIES & LEADERS:

Montenegro's Ruling Coalition

DPS- Party of Socialists (Milo Djukanovic, Montenegro's President)

NS - Democratic People's Party of Montenegro (Dragan Soc, president)

SDP - Social Democratic Party of Montenegro (Zarko Rakcevic, president)

Other Political Parties

DUA -Democratic Union of Albanians (Fuad Nimani, president)

DSS -Democratic Alliance of Albanians (Mehmet Bardhi, president)

LSCG -Liberal Alliance of Montenegro (Miodrag Zivkovic, president)

Montenegro's Opposition

SNP-Socialist People's Party of Montenegro (Momir Bulatovic, FRY PM)

SNS-Serb People's Party (Zelidrag Nikcevic, president)

NKPJ-New Communist Party of Yugoslavia (Branko Kitanovic, president)

Serbia's Ruling Coalition

JUL - Yugoslav United Left (Mira Markovic, president)

SPS -Serbian Socialist Party (Slobodan Milosevic, FRY President)

SRS - Serbian Radical Party (Vojislav Seselj, Serbia's Deputy PM)

VJ - Yugoslav National Army

I. PRELIMINARY MUNICIPAL ELECTION RESULTS

DPS WINS PODGORICA, SNP TAKES HERCEG NOVI, LSCG LOSES OUT

[SEE ATTACHMENT FOR ELECTION GRID]

PODGORICA

54-Seat Council

COALITION PARTNERS PROJECTED SEATS CHANGE

"FOR YUGOSLAVIA - SNP, SNS, SRS, JUL 22 -1

MOMIR BULATOVIC"

"For a Better Life" DPS, SDP, NS 28 +1

LSCG Single ticket 4 0

"FOR MALESIJA" DUA, DSS 0 0

HERCEG NOVI

34 Seat Council

COALITION PARTNERS PROJECTED SEATS CHANGE

"FOR YUGOSLAVIA - SNP, SNS, SRS, JUL 19 +2

MOMIR BULATOVIC"

"FOR A BETTER LIFE" DPS, NS 14 -1

SDP Single ticket 0 0

LSCG Single ticket 2 -1

35 Seats prior to elections

Based on 95% of votes counted (no discrepancy of figures among media or

political party accounts);

compiled from: Associated Press, Agence France Presse, U.P.I., V.I.P. Daily

News Report, and Vijesti daily.

RIVAL COALITIONS CLAIM VICTORY

"Both sides in Sunday's local elections in Montenegro have said the

results represent a victory for their policies. The elections were seen as a

test of whether Montenegro is heading towards independence or whether it

will stay part of Federal Yugoslavia. In the capital, Podgorica, there was

convincing success for the party of President Milo Djukanovic. He said this

proved that the policies of the Yugoslav leader, Slobodan Milosevic, were

dying out in Montenegro, which is on the way to democracy, reform and

integration with Europe. But in Herceg Novi, the second town where voting

took place, Mr Milosevic's supporters took control of the local council,

claiming vindication of continued closer ties with Belgrade. They accused

Mr. Djukanovic of taking money from the west and said they would be querying

his victory in the capital." (BBC World News, June 12) "Predrag Bulatovic,

has already announced that he will submit his resignation after the poor

election result in Montenegro's capital, where he was the 'For Yugoslavia'

coalition's candidate for mayor." (V.I.P. Daily News Report-Belgrade, June

12)

"Today, voters in the capital were clear about their choice. Supporters

of the government said they had voted for democracy, for modernity, openness

to the West and a future inside Europe. 'It is the only choice with

perspective,' said a student who gave his name only as Aco. 'I voted 'For a

Better Life.' No one wants to live worse,' said Milisav Miuskovic, a school

janitor, quoting the government coalition slogan. Supporters of the

pro-Belgrade coalition were often reluctant to talk to a Western journalist

or declined to give their names. When they did, their arguments were direct.

'I voted for Momir,' said Rada, a saleswoman who declined to give her full

name. 'I am for Yugoslavia, I do not want to separate from Serbia. The

people will not let it happen.' " (New York Times , June 12)

LIBERALS "DROWNED BY BELGRADE CONFRONTATION"

"The small Liberal Alliance, which caused these elections by withdrawing

from the government coalitions in both cities, has slipped from view behind

the larger parties. The most vocal supporter for independence, and a critic

of the Djukanovic government, it hoped to win a larger part of the vote in

new elections, but has been drowned out by the greater confrontation with

Belgrade...The Liberal Alliance has also criticized the Djukanovic

government for its slowness on promised reforms, murky privatization deals

and widespread corruption. The government has managed to attract financial

support from the West and now questions are being asked as to where that

money has gone. 'Talk to people and ask them about privatization and they

will tell you it is all illegal stealing,' Mr. Vickovic said. 'We have no

audit office, no parliamentary control of the budget. The government has no

culture of public interest. The problem is the lack of institutions and

controls over the government,' said Nebojsa Medojevic, an independent

economist. Rather than address those criticisms, Mr. Djukanovic and his

political allies chose to clean up Podgorica, pouring money into several

civic projects such as placing new benches in the parks and new garbage bins

in the streets. Critics of the government charge that it is effectively

using Mr. Milosevic has a useful excuse for any inefficiencies or failures.

A presidential aide, Miodrag Vukovic, said that the government neither

wanted nor needed these elections. 'Montenegro has plenty of problems

without them. We are involved in two conflicts, an internal Montenegrin

conflict between democrats and conservatives, and a second conflict between

Montenegrin democracy and Belgrade dictatorship,' he said." (New York Times,

June 12)

"STRONG SERB SENTIMENT" IN HERCEG NOVI

"Herceg Novi is the only city in the southern part of the republic with

strong pro-Serb sentiment due to an influx of Serb refugees from Bosnia and

Croatia, and Yugoslav military quartered at Montenegrin navy ports." (Agence

France Presse, June 12) "Aco Djukanovic [brother of President Milo

Djukanovic] has great influence in business and politics. Aco is not popular

in Herceg Novi. Several months ago, he suspended his business operations in

this town in order to diminish the negative effect on the eve of the local

elections. Apart from this, this town is near Montenegro's border with

Republika Srpska and Bosnia and the local population consists of a

considerable number of refugees from Bosnia. There is a strong pro-Serbian

sentiment among the inhabitants of Herceg Novi. The head of Djukanovic

coalition's electoral headquarters in Herceg Novi, Svetozar Marovic, used to

be Montenegrin Parliament Speaker, so he is likely to have problems inside

the party. Herceg Novi has now become the seventh municipality controlled by

Bulatovic's coalition and the first municipality in Montenegro's more

developed south where power is controlled by political forces loyal to

Milosevic." (V.I.P. Daily News Report, June 12)

95% OF VOTES TALLIED

"With some 95 percent of the votes counted from Sunday's elections,

Djukanovic's 'For A Better Life,'led by the Democratic Party of Socialists,

won 28 seats in the 54-seat Podgorica council, one more than it had in the

previous council." (UPI, June 12) "No official results were available from

the election in the two cities...Supporters of...Milo Djukanovic said their

own poll watchers reported they had won 28 of the 54 municipal posts in

Podgorica. Followers of...Momir Bulatovic, claimed they secured 19 of the 35

seats in Herceg Novi. Neither side contradicted claims of the other...'This

is a great victory,' Djukanovic told supporters early Monday. 'This proves

Montenegro is stepping forward on the road of democracy and no one can stop

us anymore.' He urged his followers not to be disheartened by the loss in

Herceg Novi, adding 'Milosevic's policies are on their deathbed.' "

(Associated Press, June 12 "In a statement early Monday, Djukanovic said the

results in Podgorica exceeded his expectations. He said his coalition would

be able to exercise power in the capital without the threat of 'blackmail.'

The 'For A Better Life' coalition previously had to rely on the Liberal

Alliance for a majority in the council. 'We scored a great victory and this

represents a genuine triumph of our policy,' he said. Djukanovic said the

result in Herceg Novi was below expectations.' " (UPI, June 12) "The early

local elections in Montenegro's two largest municipalities were scheduled

after Djukanovic's coalition was abandoned by one of its junior partners,

the Liberals." (Agence France Presse, June 12)

SDP FAILED 2%THRESHOLD IN HERCEG NOVI

"The Social Democrats, which were not part of the 'For A Better Life'

coalition in Herceg Novi, did not obtain enough votes to enter into the

municipal council because it obtained around 2 percent of the vote."

(Vijesti independeny daily-Podgorica, June 11)

OVER 75% ELECTION TURNOUT

"The turnout in Herceg Novi was 74.9 percent of the 22,000 registered

voters, local electoral officials said, adding that the official results

could be expected Thursday, after expiry of the 72-hour appeal deadline.

Podgorica electoral commission officials said that between 75 and 80 percent

of the 112,000 registered voters in the capital had cast their ballots on

Sunday." (Agence France Presse, June 12) "All the polling stations, which

amounts to 37%, were closed at 9pm last night, as prescribed by law. There

was no reasons for extending this time, as the voting in all polling

stations was in line with regulations', said the chairman of the municipal

election committee, Vukasin Simrak." (Vijesti daily, June 12)

ELECTION RESULTS TEMPTATION FOR BELGRADE?

"Local elections held in Montenegro today, closely watched as a barometer

of this small republic's future, suggested that it remains perilously

divided between following the West, or staying with President Slobodan

Milosevic and Serbia...The vote was effectively a poll on who wants to stay

with Mr. Milosevic and Yugoslavia...and who prefers the more independent

course of Montenegro's leader, Milo Djukanovic...Early unofficial results

suggested that the situation remains sharply divided. Mr. Djukanovic's

coalition -- 'For a Better Life' -- apparently...was losing to the

pro-Yugoslavia coalition in Herceg Novi. That slip, if confirmed, would a

strengthen Mr. Milosevic's allies and could eventually tempt Belgrade to

challenge Mr. Djukanovic's hold on power." (New York Times , June 12)

II. ELECTION CONDITIONS

OSCE OKAYS ELECTIONS

"The 11 June municipal elections in Podgorica and Herceg Novi were well

conducted and generally in line with OSCE commitments. The election

legislation was adopted by consensus between the governing coalition and the

largest opposition party. It provided for a high degree of transparency,

enabling political parties to follow all aspects of the process closely and

participate in decision making on election commissions and polling boards...

Some minor deficiencies, and failures to meet election deadlines, did not

materially affect the integrity of the process as a whole...Fundamental

freedoms were respected, and it is noteworthy that campaigning was conducted

peacefully throughout...Media coverage of the elections enabled voters to

make an informed choice on election day. Montenegro has an increasingly

diverse electronic and print media. State media generally respected the

legal provisions, although its broadcasts gave the governing parties an

advantage both in terms of overall airtime and more positive

coverage...Observers reported that in 97% of the polling stations observed,

voting was well conducted. 314 visits were recorded to 232 polling

stations...Some opposition parties alleged a politicised police involvement

in the elections, but the OSCE/ODIHR did not receive any evidence to

substantiate these claims. Some negative forms of campaigning took place and

the OSCE/ODIHR is concerned by one incident where it is alleged that voters

were offered inducements to vote. Albeit an isolated occurrence, if proved,

it would be a serious violation...This preliminary statement is based on the

findings of the OSCE/ODIHR Office in Montenegro, which began its election

observation activities on 8 May. On election day, 54 international

short-term observers followed proceedings in polling stations. In total,

observers from 24 OSCE participating States were represented in the

observation effort. The OSCE/ODIHR also received reports from 6 ECMM

[European Community] accredited election observers. The election observation

was conducted by the OSCE/ODIHR Office in Montenegro, headed by Mr Julian

Peel Yates and co-ordinated by Mr Paul O'Grady." (preliminary statement,

OSCE/ODIHR [Office of Institutions and Human Rights], June 12) "The voting

process and ballot-counting were monitored by 418 international and local

observers, including 80 from the OSCE." (Agence France Presse, June 12) "The

electoral commission in Podgorica said that the Socialist People's Party

(SNP), whose leader is Federal Prime Minister Momir Bulatovic, compared the

voters' lists at the polling stations with those submitted earlier to

political parties and concluded that there were no irregularities." (V.I.P.

Daily News Report, June 12)

DJUKANOVIC: "DEMOCRATIC CHARACTER" IMPORTANT

" 'I believe that, already during the election campaign attention had

been drawn to a very important quality of these elections - their democratic

character. The electoral results are an important contribution to further

democratic development and to political stability in Montenegro', said the

Montenegrin president Milo Djukanovic, after voting at the Savo Pejanovic

primary school polling station. He stated that 'these elections and its

results are much more important than the actual act of electing two new

local authorities in Podgorica and Herceg Novi. All elections, if they are

carried out in line with regulations, and if they are democratic, if they

are conducted in a climate of inter-personal tolerance, understanding and

recognizing the results are an important contribution to the democratic

development of a society', said Milo Djukanovic. (Vijesti daily, June 11)

BULATOVIC: E.U., U.S. "BRIBING VOTERS"

" 'The Yugoslavia coalition is pleased that in Montenegro there exists

sound and democratic election legislation. We have already stated our

concern that this legislation has not been implemented enough. We shall

continue our process of monitoring and shall state our judgement on the

level of democracy and freedom when we face, not the results, but the level

of application of the provisions outlined by law. These elections are

characterized by the fact that, the USA and the EU are participated in them

with their promises in value of 40 million DMs with the aim of bribing

voters and the people. We shall see if they shall succeed in this', said

federal prime minister, Momir Bulatovic to journalists from one of the

polling stations. Bulatovic added that the international media have

insinuated that 'we shall organize an uprising' and added that the people in

his party [SNP] are people who respect the law, but that no one can make

them recognize an election result for which there is clear evidence that

there was theft. No one should expect that we are going to take up arms

against each other. In terms of our coalition and the federal authorities,

everyone can be at peace. Not a single instance of electoral theft or deceit

can be a motive for jeopardizing peace', concluded Bulatovic. (Vijesti

daily, June 11)

BRIEF STREET CLASH IN PODGORICA

"As the results started pouring in shortly after midnight, dozens of cars

cruised along Podgorica's main streets sounding their horns, with passengers

waving DPS and Montenegrin flags and hailing passers-by. Fireworks and even

automatic rifle fire were heard from several suburbs, and early Monday

police set up checkpoints at several roads leading into the capital, after a

clash between Bulatovic and Djukanovic supporters. The rival groups of a

dozen men, mostly young, were separated by police, who briefly detained some

activists, reporters with the independent radio Free Montenegro said.

Overnight Sunday, hundreds of Djukanovic's supporters packed the government

building to celebrate the results, while at least 1,000 took to the streets

shouting 'Milo, the Champ' and 'Viva Montenegro.' Djukanovic appeared

briefly before the crowd, congratulating his activists and praising their

success at the polls, which he described as a political triumph." (Agence

France Presse, June 12)

ELECTIONS COVER 1/3 OF REPUBLIC

"Voters in Podgorica and Herceg Novi account for around a third of the

electorate of Montenegro...If confirmed, the results would show the

650,000-strong population of Montenegro divided between Djukanovic

and...Bulatovic. (Agence France Presse, June 12)

 
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