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^(wap) (ATTN: National editors)<
^Experts Won't Speculate on Potential Treatment for Johnson<
^By David Brown=
^(c) 1991, The Washington Post=
WASHINGTON _ A healthy man in his thirties recently infected with the human
immunodeficiency virus (HIV) has about a 1-in-2 chance of living 10 years
before developing AIDS. The average life expectancy after the first symptoms
appear is about two years.
Improved drugs aimed at staving off the symptomatic period of HIV infection,
and better treatments for the late-stage infections that usually kill AIDS
patients, may extend both the early and late stages of the disease.
Those were the conclusions of several experts in the natural history and
treatment of HIV infection interviewed Friday in the aftermath of basketball
superstar Magic Johnson's announcement that he is infected with HIV.
None of the experts would speculate specifically on the possible course or
treatment of Johnson's illness. Virtually nothing has been disclosed of the
medical details of his case beyond the positive finding of HIV. A spokesman for
Michael Mellman, one of the Los Angeles Lakers' team physicians, said the
doctor would not comment on Johnson's case.
There is no scientific research on whether physical activity such as that in
playing professional basketball could accelerate progression of HIV infection,
though several experts said they were not surprised that Johnson was advised to
stop playing.
``There is some medicine that is practiced at the level of common sense,''
said Lewis K. Schrager, a researcher at the National Institutes of Health on
the relationship between behavior and the biology of AIDS. ``We are not talking
about pickup basketball games here. We are talking about an incredibly grueling
schedule that involves travel, lack of sleep, long days and extraordinary
physical stress. There is nothing proven, but it just makes sense that you'd
want to limit that.''
Aside from basketball, Johnson's case may be best compared to that of the
516 men who acquired HIV infection through sexual contact early in the epidemic
and whose course is being followed by the San Francisco city health department.
The average age of that ``cohort'' of patients _ many of whom are now dead _ is
about 40. Johnson is 32.
Approximately 50 percent of those men lived 10 years before they developed
an infection or cancer that met the official definition of AIDS. About 40
percent lived 11{ years before the onset of AIDS, said Nancy Hessol, an
epidemiologist at the health department.
There is less clear data on how long an otherwise healthy man can expect to
live before developing symptoms such as weight loss, tiredness, night sweats,
and diarrhea that typically mark the progression of HIV infection but not the
onset of clinical AIDS. In the group of San Francisco men who contracted the
disease before 1981, 22 percent were still without symptoms at the end of 1989,
Hessol said.
(Some of the men in the study had blood specimens drawn and stored in the
late 1970s as part of hepatitis research studies. Consequently their HIV status
is known from a time before the AIDS virus was first described.)
Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP), a parasitic lung infection, is the
first ``AIDS-defining'' illness in about 48 percent of HIV-infected patients.
Other less common illnesses heralding AIDS include fungal infections of the
esophagus, dementia, Kaposi's sarcoma, and lymphoma, a cancer of the type of
blood cells known as lymphocytes.
The average survival after the onset of AIDS in the San Francisco cohort is
24 months, Hessol said.
HIV-infected persons are not immediately prescribed drugs. Current
recommendations are that patients get zidovudine (AZT) when there is laboratory
evidence of damage to the immune system-specifically when cells called CD4
lymphocytes (also called T-4 cells) number fewer than 500 per cubic millimeter
of blood. This is usually before symptoms of AIDS begin. Not long ago, however,
it was common not to begin AZT therapy until the disease was more advanced. The
10-year figure for the hiatus before these symptoms begin is based on patients
treated under the older, less aggressive regimen. Survival time nowadays may be
longer.
AZT often causes anemia, or other side effects, severe enough that it has to
be stopped. A second drug, didanosine (DDI), was recently approved as a
substitute for patients who cannot tolerate AZT, or whose infection is
resistant to the older drug.
When the CD4 cell count drops below 200, most patients receive monthly
treatments with pentamadine, a drug that helps prevent pneumocystis pneumonia
when inhaled as an aerosol.
Most infectious disease specialists give newly diagnosed HIV patients
vaccinations against pneumococcal pneumonia-a common bacterial lung
infection-and often against hepatitis B virus as well.
Most patients also get a skin test to see if they have been exposed to
tuberculosis, a bacterium that can lie dormant for decades but then suddenly
cause disease when a person's immune system weakens. Those testing positive for
TB exposure are generally given a year's treatment with the pill isoniazid even
if they have no evidence of active tuberculosis. Similarly, persons with
evidence of exposure to the syphilis bacterium on blood testing are also
treated, the experts said.
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